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DMA New Orleans Conference Kicks Off Next Week!
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This year's
exciting agenda includes new speakers, topics and activities focused on
connecting attendees with the industry and each other!
- Keynote
– Kerry Siggins
- 2025
Industry Forecast for Chains – Circana's David Portalatin shares insights from the latest
Eating Patterns in America study for chains and their distributor partners
- FSMA
204 is NOW – Katy
Jones, CEO of Trustwell, leads a distinguished panel of
experts including Markon's CEO Andy Hamilton, Cooper's Hawk's
Jeremy Lyle and Shamrock's Jared Keefer as they share the
immediate issues surrounding traceability for multi-unit operators
- Habits
of High Growth Chains - DMA's own Angela Korompilas discusses best practices with Jen
Silviera from CAVA, Rachel LaHorgue from Dutch Bros.,
and Nicole Mouskondis, co-CEO at Nicholas & Company
- Picking
Future Winners – Restaurant
Business Editor in Chief Jonathan Maze moderates a panel including Joshua
Long, Dave Henkes from Technomic and Andy Anthony from
Ben E. Keith who share their methods for choosing the next hot chain
- Technology
Transformation – Dan Simpson, CEO of Taziki's, Ian O'Neil from Linked
Eats (formerly Sauce Pricing) and Hillary Holmes of Olo
discuss future tech driving transformation for multi-unit operators in the
"three D's" with RJ Hottovy from Placer.ai
If you are
interested in attending (or sponsoring) future DMA events, reach out to Charley
for more information.
Thank you to
this year's Partners and Sponsors for making the conference extra special for
all our guests!
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Battle of
the Brands: Gen Z Top Drinks, Snacks, Fast-Food Faves
The
semi-annual "Taking Stock With Teens" results are in. Conducted by Piper
Sandler in partnership with DECA, this survey of 13,515 U.S. teens
across 47 states offers an eye-opening glimpse into how Gen Z spends its money.
Teens'
reported spending increased to $2,361 – up 6% year over year and 4% when
compared to spring of 2024.
The survey
also identifies the top brands that have been capturing (and holding) this
demographic's attention, as well as several intriguing shifts that have been
happening across multiple sectors, including food and beverage.
Fast
Food
Chick-fil-A continues its reign as the most
popular fast-food chain among Gen Z, securing the top spot for yet another
consecutive year.
McDonald's and Chipotle tied for second
place, indicating that teens still favor convenient, affordable meals from
familiar brands.
Energy
Drinks
Energy
drinks have solidified their place as the beverage of choice for teens, with
39% of respondents choosing energy drinks over coffee (31%) and soda (30%).
However, not
all energy drinks are created equal, in their opinion. The highly caffeinated
leaderboard for 2024 is as follows:
• Monster
• Red Bull
• Celsius
• Alani Nu
This
widespread preference for energy drinks over more traditional beverages that
appeal to older generations highlights Gen Z's need for quick, accessible
energy boosts that can align with their fast-paced, on-the-go lifestyles.
Snacks
on the Rise
When it
comes to snacking, teens are sticking to some familiar favorites – and
interestingly, they all fall on the savory side of the snack sector.
The top
three snacks of today's teenagers include:
• Goldfish
• Lays
• Cheez-It
These
long-established brands offer easy, portable options that resonate with the
Gen-Z demographic.
Plant-Based
Products
The survey's
findings also reveal that Gen Z's willingness to try plant-based meat options
seems to have stabilized after experiencing significant declines in interest
since the spring of 2021.
This recent
shift suggests that, while there's still plenty of curiosity surrounding
plant-based products and the sector appears to be bouncing back, it may not
capture the widespread appeal that was once predicted for this cohort
nonetheless.
What
This Means for Brands
The insights
from the Piper Sandler survey make one thing clear: fast-food chains and
well-established snack manufacturers will continue to win over Gen Z, as well
as their dollars.
F&B
brands that are able to cater to the convenience, energy, and familiarity that
this young demographic craves will continue to dominate the competitive
landscape. Food
Institute Focus
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2024: The
Year of the Convenience Store
C-stores, in
many respects, are surging. Convenience store chains largely enjoyed a stellar
third quarter in 2024.
Placer.ai reported that overall visits to
C-stores were up 58.6% during August compared to a January 2021 baseline.
Additionally, visits were up 2.2% in August year-over-year.
Overall
year-over-year visits to C-stores have been up every month since February 2024.
C-stores
have undergone noteworthy shifts, embracing diverse offerings like fresh food
and expanded dining options. These retail locations are increasingly viewed not
only as places to fuel up, but also as affordable destinations for quick meals.
"It's kind
of an explosion in the convenience world, with prepared foods. And this hasn't
been something that's just happened overnight," D.J. White – senior VP
of corporate distribution at CORE Foodservice, an Acosta Group
agency – told The Food Institute. "Roller grills were kind of the first
version of foodservice [at C-stores] and then it has evolved with pizza, and
chicken, and now it's evolving beyond that to a much higher degree.
"A protein
bento box – you would never have seen that before in a convenience location."
Convenience
stores are the only channel to have grown in units per trip last year and
number of trips.
"We've seen
this over time when periods of inflation impact households," said Doug
Middlebrooks, senior VP, channel sales at Advantage Solutions.
"More, smaller trips can take the place of larger stock-up trips in other
channels, as people manage their household cash flow."
This is
likely a reflection of the trend that's happening in grocery overall: a shift
away from the "weekly stock-up" behavior to a more on-demand approach, with
more frequent pickups and deliveries, said Jennifer Silverberg, CEO of SmartCommerce.
"This shift
is getting consumers more used to smaller pack sizes, single-serve drinks,
etcetera," she added.
Regional
Powerhouses Broaden Horizons
Regional
C-store chains have developed loyal followings. In August, year-over-year
visits were up 11.7% for Buc-cee's, 7.6% at Sheetz, and 3.2% at Wawa,
according to Placer.ai.
"These
brands have become destinations in their own right," Dr. Matt Hasan, CEO
at aiRESULTS, told FI. "Buc-cee's, for instance, is not
just a store; it offers a unique shopping experience characterized by clean
facilities, extensive snack options, and distinctive merchandise. (Plus), by
providing EV charging, C-stores are positioning themselves at the intersection
of convenience and sustainability."
Successful
recent stretches like those enjoyed by Wawa, Buc-cee's, and Sheetz have
helped inspire those brands to expand into new areas, broadening their reach.
Between
January and August 2024, year-over-year visits to Wawa were mostly elevated,
Placer.ai noted. Now, the chain is venturing into heavily populated Southern
states like Florida, where its store count has grown significantly over the
past few years.
Another
chain with countless devotees, Buc-cee's, is expanding beyond its Texas roots.
The chain, known for its enormous stores, has already outpaced its strong 2023
performance this year, prompting it to open locations in Arkansas and North
Carolina.
Dwell
on It
By expanding
into new areas, C-stores can tap into local visitation patterns. One metric
that highlights local differences in consumer behavior is dwell time – the
amount of time a customer spends inside a convenience store per visit.
During the
first eight months of 2024, land-locked states like Wyoming, Montana, and North
Dakota led the C-store category in dwell time, with average times per visit
ranging between 21.2 and 28.2 minutes. The states with the longest dwell times
also have some of the highest percentages of truck traffic on highways,
Placer.ai found, suggesting that these longer stops are perhaps made by
long-haul truckers looking for a hot meal or amenities like showers.
"What
C-stores have really nailed is the science of what consumers need. They know
the SKUs they need, the options they need, exactly what they need," said Ellis
Verdi, president of the DeVito/Verdi ad agency.
"Historically,
there was always a high-price perception with C-stores. But today they're much
more competitive," Verdi added. "Next to the gum or coffee that you came in
for, there's an appetizing roast beef sandwich or something else desirable."
Business
Lessons to Be Learned
A key differentiator
between C-stores and other businesses is the flexibility these stores offer
shoppers, with both foodservice and overall snacking occasions.
"The large
variety of beverage options, for example, is something C-stores can leverage
over traditional QSRs and other foodservice options," Middlebrooks said.
"I think the
convenience world is stealing share from other QSRs," White said, "because
they're earning the trust of the consumer. ... The convenience retailer is doing
a great job of creating and driving customer loyalty."
Grocers can
also learn lessons from C-stores' recent success.
"Grocery
stores should think about how to make the quick stops easy and convenient,"
Silverberg said. "Imagine I'm on the way home from work and realize I need to
pick up milk; if I stop at the C-store I know I can be in and out in two
minutes. But, at the grocery store, I have to park far away, go to the back of
the store, then get in what may be a long line.
"The choice
is easy – even if it costs an extra dollar, (the C-store) is worth it." Food
Institute Focus
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Customization and Culture: How Starbucks Turns Pricey Coffee into Loyalty
People like their coffee just so, and maybe that's why Starbucks keeps
its loyal following despite prices that are higher than those of their competitors.
A recent survey by Technomic found about half of consumers surveyed
said Starbucks is the least affordable coffee chain, Restaurant Business
reported.
Caribou, Tim Horton's, and Dunkin' were among those
ranked much more affordable. Consumers have become highly sensitive to price
as a result of inflation, with many now seeing fast food as a luxury, a
Lending Tree survey indicated. Meanwhile, a YouGov poll found that
diners see casual-dining restaurants as a better value.
But experts told The Food Institute that price isn't everything. "While
price plays a significant role in consumers' decisions, Starbucks retains
its customer base through its brand experience, quality, and personalized
offerings," said Robin Salvador, CEO of Caffeine Brothers.
"Customers return for the convenience of mobile ordering, customization,
and the café atmosphere, which fosters loyalty. However, sustainability hinges
on maintaining value perception."
Though its prices vary depending on location, a simple 8-ounce cup of drip
coffee runs about $3.35. Up the size to 20 ounces, and the cost rises about
50 cents. But get into the specialty drinks like a 20-ounce oat milk latte
or an iced apple crisp oat milk shaken espresso, and the cost soars to $6.75.
Add a piece of pumpkin bread for $4.25, a baked apple croissant for $3.95,
or an egg, pesto, and mozzarella sandwich for $4.95, and breakfast just topped
$10. And with customizations like an extra espresso shot or a bit of whipped
cream, the price goes even higher. RB noted that such customizations
now earn the company $1 billion a year.
"Starbucks has positioned itself as more than just a coffee shop – it's an
experience," said Zachary Haycock, VP at the Big Leap marketing
firm. "Looking at data from my own comparable clients in the food and beverage
industry really demonstrates that loyalty will be sustained despite higher
prices.
Starbucks would not have experienced 11% growth YOY otherwise." James
Callery, head chef and co-founder of the Cross Keys in Newbury,
England, said drinking Starbucks has become "almost a fashion statement, like
carrying a designer handbag but with caffeine."
"Even in tough economic times, luxury goods tend to weather the storm better
because their loyal customers value the experience as much as the product,"
Callery said.
"Plus, we can't forget the addictive factor – coffee isn't just a treat;
for many, it's a daily necessity," Callery added. "Once you've developed a
love affair with that fancy Starbucks coffee, it's hard to quit."
RB noted Starbucks has tried to address the affordability issue with
"pairings," its take on value meals.
Haycock said a bigger threat to Starbucks than affordability is that younger
customers care more about a company's political and charitable efforts. Starbucks
has positioned itself as a daily experience in peoples' lives, so they need
to extend that same logic to really craft their political and charitable strategies
to match that consumer, he said. Food
Institute Focus
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McDonald's
Debuts Chicken Big Mac
In a twist
on the original Big Mac, which first came to stores in 1968, McDonald's
revealed that its LTO innovation, the Chicken Big Mac, would roll out on
October 10.
"With the
introduction of the Chicken Big Mac, we're excited to pay homage to one of our
most iconic menu items, the Big Mac, and introduce it to a whole new generation
of fans," said Tariq Hassan, chief marketing and customer experience officer at
McDonald's USA, in a statement. "By tapping into some of our fans' biggest
passions from dupe culture to live-streaming, we're able to serve up more than
just a sandwich."
"There truly
is something for everyone to enjoy in this campaign and we're bringing
experiences that will surprise and delight them, all before the Chicken Big Mac
hits restaurants."
McDonald's
secretly piloted the innovation at a Los Angeles pop-up in a one-day-only
experience called McDonnell's, according to a press release from
McDonald's. The offering, dubbed "The Chicken Sandwich," featured the Big Mac
analog along with Chain's signatures including beef tallow fries, deep-fried
apple pie, and soft serve ice cream.
The
company's marketing campaign targets social media moments and plays into a
social media trend called "dupe culture," wherein people buy cheaper versions
of expensive products. Chain and McDonald's took to Instagram to invite
attendees of the "duped" pop-up experience to give their thoughts on the
Chicken Big Mac disguised as the McDonnell's sandwich.
"It's
impressive how close this is to McDonald's," mused one attendee.
To promote
the offering, McDonald's also teamed up with internet personality Kai Cenat to
ask fans to opine whether the Chicken Big Mac can be considered a Big Mac.
The new
sandwich will be available at participating U.S. McDonald's locations while
supplies last, the fast-food giant said. Food
Institute Focus
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Store
News:
BurgerFi will continue to operate after it
receives $3.5M in funding from TREW Capital Management. The restaurant
chain will use the funds to sustain its operations as it navigates Chapter 11 bankruptcy and prepares for a sale, reported Restaurant Business (Sept.
17). Full Story
MOD Pizza's new owner plans to refranchise its
company-owned restaurants. Elite Restaurant Group announced that it has hired a
specialist to assist with a comprehensive effort to sell locations nationwide
to franchise operators, reported Restaurant Business (Sept. 13). Full Story
Todd
Graves, the owner
and founder of Raising Cane's, joined Season 16 of ABC's Shark Tank
premiering. The new "Guest Shark" has led the fast-growing chicken chain since
its launch on the LSU campus 28 years ago, which now boasts over 830
restaurants across 40 states, reported Nation's Restaurant News (Sept.
19). Full Story
Smashburger is revamping its branding and menu
to feature eight new items and spin-offs of classics. CEO Denise Nelsen
emphasized a renewed focus on quality, innovation, and enhancing the dining
experience to enable the Denver-based chain to "own the smash" again,
reported Restaurant Business (Sept. 8). Full Story
Olive
Garden is making
several strategic adjustments in an attempt to win back customers. These
strategies come after a decline in same-store sales for the third quarter in a
row and a 5% drop in restaurant traffic year over year, reported Restaurant
Business (Sept. 19). Full Story
Starbucks pulled the Princi Italian
pastry brand from many Roastery and Reserve locations in the U.S. and China.
The brand was championed by longtime leader Howard Schultz while he worked at
the company, reported Bloomberg (Sept. 26). Full Story
Meanwhile,
Starbucks has become a haven for teens to hang out, and cold, sugary beverages
are incredibly popular among the demographic. Greenlight, a company that
provides debit cards to kids ages 5-18, noted that Starbucks was the fifth most
popular destination for its cardholders in 2023, reported Bloomberg
(Oct. 15). Full Story
Domino's "emergency pizza" deal
powered a surge of orders and brought millions of new members to its loyalty
program. The company spent two years fine-tuning the marketing deal to ensure
profitability and that customers could not game the system, reported The Wall
Street Journal (Sept. 29). Full Story
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Store
News (Continued):
Subway announced on Oct. 1 that it has
signed over 20 master franchise agreements in the past three years, amounting
to 10,000 international restaurants in total. This marks a 63% increase in
locations, reported Restaurant Business (Oct. 1). Full Story
Chipotle
Mexican Grill has
launched a new ad campaign called "Got Smoked? Get Smoked!" that awards free
Smoked Brisket to 100 losing fantasy football players for the remainder of the
season. Entrants must be enrolled in the fast casual chain's rewards program to
be eligible. Full Story
Meanwhile, Chipotle's
venture capital arm recently announced new investments in the AI supply chain
platform Lumachain and the fast-casual restaurant concept Brassica.
"Investing in emerging culinary concepts that align with Chipotle's
commitment to using real, fresh ingredients and making craveable food daily is
consistent with our mission to Cultivate a Better World," said Nate
Lawton, Chief Business Development Officer. Full Story
Wendy's is bringing back "buck
beverages" for a limited time. Throughout the promotion period, guests may
order any size of soft drink for only $1 with no additional purchase required. Full Story
Not all
restaurant chains are participating in the value wars, including Potbelly,
Red Robin, and Portillo's. These companies are deploying
strategic offers to keep business flowing without training consumers to expect
permanently lowered prices, reported The Wall Street Journal (Oct. 11). Full Story
Taco Bell is bringing back its popular
Double-Decker Taco from the '90s in response to pressure from social media
followers. The item is available at locations across the nation for $2 through
Oct. 30, reported TODAY (Oct. 10). Full Story
Quiznos recently made a record-setting
comeback in Tucson, reopening with a new business model and menu. The sandwich
chain plans to open 30 additional locations across Arizona. Full Story
McDonald's iconic McRib sandwich has returned
to U.K. menus for a limited time after nearly a decade. While there's no
official confirmation about its U.S. return, sources suggest it may return later
this year, reported Food & Wine (Oct. 17). Full Story
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Executives
on the Move:
IHOP president Jay Johns will
retire after six years in the role, and Lawrence Kim will take over on Jan. 6,
reported Restaurant Business (Sept. 25). Full Story
Arby's named David Graves as its president. The fast-food chain
also brought back Jeff Baker to serve as its CMO, reported Nation's Restaurant
News (Sept. 30). Full
Story
Jack in
the Box EVP and CFO Brian
Scott recently announced his retirement. Industry veteran Dawn Hooper will
now lead the organization as principal financial officer and interim CFO. Full Story
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Hurricane
Helene Leaves Crop Losses, Poultry Disruptions in its Wake
Hurricane
Helene's impact on the Southeastern U.S. is just beginning to be felt. The
storm – which hit Florida as a Category 4 hurricane late last week – led to the
deaths of more than 100 people at last report. The hurricane's 140-mph winds
were also responsible for halted poultry production.
Additionally, crops like cotton, pecans, soybeans, peanuts and, to a
lesser extent, avocados and citrus were impacted by the hurricane, according to
Jena Santoro, senior manager of intelligence solutions at Everstream
Analytics.
"Some projections show Helene's potential damage as comparable to
Hurricane Idalia in 2023, which led to agricultural damages up to $370.9
million in Florida alone," Santoro told The Food Institute.
Dale Mohler,
an AccuWeather meteorologist and agriculture expert, told FI that
north-central Florida and eastern Georgia were hit hardest by the storm,
enduring winds that reached as much as 100 mph.
"A conservative figure will be over $1 billion in production losses," the
ag expert said.
"Cotton and peanuts are currently on the front end of the harvest season
and are likely to have incurred water and wind damage. Pecan trees were
uprooted by strong winds," Mohler added. "It would be mostly the fruit and nut
crops which will be impacted next year, as damaged and uprooted trees will have
to be replaced."
The state of Georgia expects more than $2.5 billion in agricultural
damage, according to Bloomberg. The hurricane halted operations at chicken
processing plants, causing severe damage to some flocks.
Officials at the Wayne-Sanderson Farms' poultry processing plant
in Moultrie, Georgia decided not to operate on Monday. Operations at two
chicken plants run by Pilgrim's Pride Corp. were suspended on Saturday due to
power outages. Damage caused by the hurricane could further constrain poultry
production growth in the U.S. at a time when demand is surging.
Also of concern: Georgia leads the country in peanut production, at 42%
of U.S. output. This year's harvest had been subjected to prolonged drought
conditions, and now there's the risk of saturated crops, plus an unmanageable
spread of plant disease rampant in wet conditions, Santoro said.
In advance of the massive storm, USDA partnered with organizations
like FEMA to create a Disaster Resource Center. USDA also developed a
disaster assistance discovery tool designed to address rural and agricultural
issues.
Despite such efforts, agricultural losses resulting from the hurricane
could have long-term ramifications in some respects.
"For the fruit trees and pecans, it may take years to replace the lost
production from damaged trees," Mohler said. "Other crops should not be
impacted for next year."
"Damage inflicted on crops like
cotton may be irreversible, and producers will have to absorb those losses
without much recourse until the next harvest," Santoro said. "In some cases,
farmers and crops will be covered by disaster relief support. But, even so,
supply chains for industries reliant on sourcing inputs and ingredients from
affected suppliers will be disrupted if supply shortages are rampant." Food Institute Focus
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Was
August a Turning Point for Restaurants?
Comparable
sales dipped 0.4% at the nation's restaurants in August as comparable traffic
dipped 3.6%, according to Black Box Intelligence.
"
After several challenging
months, signs of recovery are beginning to appear. While performance metrics
show a mixed picture, they suggest the worst may be behind us," wrote the
authors of the report.
They authors
noted early results for September indicated a return to growth. "We are three
weeks in and the month is showing a return to positive same-store sales growth,"
the group said. Full Story
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