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We look forward to seeing so many of you Friday, May 16th at DMA's Party at the Post Office to kick off the 2025 National Restaurant Show in Chicago! More than 500 people will join you for this outdoor event on the rooftop of one of Chicago's most iconic destinations. You don't want to miss this... Chain Operators can still sign up today!
Thank you to the record number of supplier Partners and event Sponsors for making this such a great experience as well! Your support not only enhances this event, but also makes the monthly newsletter more engaging. We are so grateful to collaborate with each of you! Explore product videos and promotions on DMA's website highlighting many of the items you'll see (and taste) at this year's event.
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Mixue and
Matcha: Asian Beverages Take Over the World
In case you
haven’t noticed, a lot has been happening in the Asian beverage space lately.
For
starters, Mixue Ice Cream and Tea just became the world’s biggest
F&B chain by number of locations, beating out both Starbucks and McDonald’s.
Over the last three years, the Chinese chain has more than doubled its store
count and wrapped up 2024 with a total of 45,000 units, according to Technomic.
So, what’s
the recipe behind Mixue’s success? Unsurprisingly, value is one key ingredient.
The chain
prices many of its sweet drinks and ice cream treats at 6 Chinese yuan, or
around 83 cents – and its menu is as short as it is sweet.
Mixue has
adopted an innovative franchising strategy as well, with much of the chain’s
revenue coming from the supplies it sells to its franchisees.
Its
franchising fees are also well below the average rates, which makes opening a
Mixue franchise a relatively affordable endeavor – unlike producing matcha in
Japan.
Across the
world, matcha is in short supply, but it’s also more popular than ever.
Yelp
searches for “matcha powder” increased a whopping 791% year over year in
February while searches for “matcha” rose 180% during the period, according to
the platform’s March Trend Tracker.
Although the
traditional Japanese green tea has been around for a while now, its global
appeal has soared in recent years.
The increase
in demand is partially driven by its popularity among social media influencers
like Jasmine and Freya Smith, two content creators who live in Tokyo and
regularly post about Japanese culture and cuisine on Tik Tok.
In January,
the sisters informed their audience of nearly 50,000 followers about the matcha
shortage they’d noticed in their area.
This
development likely played an integral role in the surge in Yelp searches in the
weeks that followed, as matcha fans across the world attempted to stockpile
their stash of the beloved green powder while they still had time.
The mass
appeal of matcha is partially responsible for the international shortage, as it
turns out.
According to
Bloomberg, the export value of Japanese green tea (including matcha) hit
a record high of $244 million last year, representing a year-over-year increase
of roughly 25%, according to the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry, and
Fisheries of Japan.
Tourism
within the nation is also on the rise, with 37 million travelers visiting Japan
in 2024 alone (and consuming their fair share of matcha), up 47% from the year
before.
As a result,
some Japanese tea sellers have instituted purchase limits in recent months,
while others have temporarily stopped selling some of their matcha products
altogether.
And then
there are the supply chain issues. Case in point, the total volume of tencha,
or the tea leaves that are specifically grown for making matcha, harvested in
2023 was just 78% of the amount produced in 2008.
To add
insult to injury, many of the nation’s top tencha growers have begun to retire
– with few successors waiting in the wings.
The amount
of land available in Japan for growing tea leaves has also dwindled, while the
costs of labor and production have risen. Food
Institute Focus
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How
McDonald’s Won Over Gen Z Consumers
Research
firm dcdx recently released The Magnetic 100: Restaurants report, which
took a look at the brands that Gen Z is talking about most. In order to make
this list, a restaurant chain’s customers need to be doing more than spending
money – they need to be truly engaged with the brand.
“Magnetism
can be measured through how much and how often consumers talk about a brand
online and this is all organic, so it’s not skewed by big marketing or
influencer budgets,” dcdx director of strategy Mara Stolzenbach told Nation’s
Restaurant News.
“Analyzing
this type of user-generated content allows us to understand what’s resonating
with customers and how they think about a brand.”
The report
looked at 100 brands and rated them from “weak” to “magnetic” by analyzing
their brand momentum, TikTok followers and segment. Metrics were then derived
from popularity and consistency.
Here’s the
top 10 most magnetic brands, per the report:
1.
McDonald’s
2.
Wingstop
3.
Starbucks
4.
Chipotle
5.
Taco
Bell
6.
Crumbl
Cookies
7.
Raising
Cane’s
8.
KFC
9.
Chick-fil-A
10.Subway
Let’s take a
closer look at the top five brands and how they made the list.
McDonald’s
Generating 1
billion engagements on its own, McDonald’s claims the top spot on the list as
the most magnetic brand, with a score of 89.38. The chain’s popularity goes
beyond its food and in fact, much of its engagement has nothing to do with
food.
According to
Nation’s Restaurant News, memes about drive-thru order mishaps,
behind-the-scenes content and viral clarinet performances mimicking air fryers
all contributed to it taking the number one spot.
Wingstop
Next on the
list, with a score of 87.5, is a chicken-wing chain that has gained popularity
among Gen Z through “Mukbang” videos – live-streams that feature a person
eating a large amount of food. According to NRN, Mukbang content
dominated themes driving conversations for many of the top brands.
Starbucks
After losing
popularity last year, Starbucks is back near the top thanks to a return to its
roots and limited-time offerings. The coffee chain scored an 87.13 on the
magnetism list, with consumers sharing seasonal drink ordering tips and
pictures of their personalized cup messages.
That small
change of encouraging employees to write personal messages on cups with
Sharpies paid off, under the leadership of new Starbucks CEO Brian Niccol.
Chipotle
All press is
good press, as Chipotle found out. Criticism over Chipotle’s prices and portion
sizes became its biggest content driver over the past year. Customers of the
brand started sharing ways to maximize orders and get the best deal, which
actually played a key role in the brand attaining a score of 86.84.
Taco
Bell
Rounding out
the top five on the report’s rankings was the time-tested Mexican chain. Over
40% of Taco Bell’s engagement features storyteller content, with customers
sharing life experiences – like gender reveals – with Baja Blasts.
Of the
restaurants in the report, the top five brands – along with the number six
brand, Crumbl Cookies – drove more than half of the conversation in the
restaurant category, with nearly 4 billion engagements, according to an article
by Fast Company.
How to
Win Over Gen Z Consumers
Restaurants
must remain consistent to be magnetic and create a loyal customer base.
“For brands
that want to increase their magnetism, restaurants have to overcome a higher
threshold of consistent consumer affection,” dcdx CEO Andrew Roth
told NRN.
“If
consistent love is harder to achieve in the restaurant space, then establishing
loyalty demands creating an experience for consumers that sticks with them long
after their meal is over.” Food
Institute Focus
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The
Secret Sauce Behind Dave’s Hot Chicken’s Meteoric Rise
Dave’s
Hot Chicken is hot
in every sense of the word.
The chain
was recently named America’s Fastest Growing Restaurant Chain by Technomic and
currently has more than 700 locations in the pipeline. Dave’s Hot Chicken also
has over 200 million organic views on TikTok, has the highest Instagram
followers per restaurant of any national fast-casual brand, and has seen sales
increase 156% over the past year, according to a press release.
“Dave’s Hot
Chicken has one of the greatest origin stories in the restaurant business, with
the founders starting Dave’s as a parking lot pop-up restaurant in Hollywood
with a portable fryer, and picnic tables from their backyards,” said Bill
Phelps, Dave’s Hot Chicken’s CEO, in the release.
“The
company’s nearly unheard-of growth rate is a result of the founders’ vision for
this brand, the tremendous leadership team we’ve assembled, and the incredible
commitment of some of the most experienced franchisees,” Phelps added.
An inspiring
story and a popular product are a great start, but that will only take you so
far. So, what exactly is this chicken chain doing that makes it so successful? The
Food Institute took a closer look with help from industry insiders.
Why is
Fried Chicken Still so Popular?
Dave’s Hot
Chicken isn’t the only chicken chain that’s finding success. Recently, a number
of chicken chains have been making waves when it comes to fast food, including Raising
Cane’s and Super Chix. Why is that? According to R.J. Hottovy,
Placer.ai’s head of analytical research, it’s the versatility of the
protein and the fact that it can be prepared in a number of ways to suit
individual preferences.
Dan Rowe, CEO of Fransmart, added that
chicken is also one of the most popular proteins.
“Chicken is
pervasive and a safe default for anyone trying a new brand,” Rowe told FI. “Hot
chicken in particular – like Nashville hot chicken, etc. – is the flavor of the
day with chicken, and Dave’s Hot Chicken owns the segment.
“They are
the Five Guys of the spicy-chicken segment.”
What
Sets Dave’s Hot Chicken Apart?
Savvy
business moves have helped put Dave’s on top. Recently, The Wall Street
Journal highlighted some of the ways the chain was able to accommodate a $2
an hour wage increase for its employees.
Dave’s
didn’t just raise its prices, it found ways to be more efficient and cut back
on overhead, such as dispensing sauce packets rather than filling plastic cups
for to-go orders.
“Labor costs
and availability have long been challenges in the quick-service restaurant
industry, so the chain’s efforts to improve efficiency have been smart,”
Hottovy said of Dave’s Hot Chicken.
“By
implementing automatic dishwashers, grease-extracting machines, and outsourcing
chicken marination to external vendors, Dave’s Hot Chicken reduces staffing
needs while still enabling crew members to engage with customers.”
What
can Other Chains Learn from Dave’s?
Hottovy said
that, as operations become increasingly costly and complex, more operators will
likely explore automated solutions and other efficiency measures, like those
implemented by Dave’s Hot Chicken, to streamline processes and allow crew
members to focus on other tasks. Food
Institute Focus
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Green
Means Go: Maximizing Profits on St. Patrick’s Day
An old Irish
proverb states that “hindsight is the best insight to foresight.” Restaurant
and bar operators would be well advised, then, to lend an ear to industry
veterans offering tips in advance of St. Patrick’s Day.
After all,
March 17 offers the opportunity for big profits – assuming operators plan
accordingly.
“St.
Patrick’s Day is essentially Black Friday for bars and restaurants,” said Joe
Hannon, GM, inventory and sales at Restaurant 365. “Staffing needs
to be dialed in. Service must be seamless.
“This isn’t
the day for new hires to learn on the fly. Crowds will arrive in waves,” Hannon
told The Food Institute.
While St.
Patrick’s Day shifts can be intense for employees, there also must be an
element of fun. Otherwise, an establishment’s vibe won’t feel festive.
“From theme
décor and table toppers promoting deals to uniforms or details like providing
customers with green sunglasses or wigs … a little effort can go a long way,”
said Zech Francis, SVP global marketing at BeatBox Beverages.
Mastering
the Menu
The biggest
mistake many venues make on St. Patrick’s Day is assuming a full house equals a
profitable day. That’s a short-sighted approach.
“In reality,
volume-driven days often lead to low-margin sales, kitchen bottlenecks, and
staff burnout,” noted Kaveh Vahdat, president of RiseOpp. “Operators should
shift focus from crowd size to check size. That means building high-margin,
limited-time food offerings.”
To make
March 17 as profitable as possible, bars and restaurants should consider
creating a holiday menu highlighted by classic Irish dishes and seasonal
drinks, Hannon noted.
“Take
traditional Irish dishes and modernize them – think corned beef tacos, or
shepherd’s pie sliders. These options are easy to share and could bring a new
level of excitement.”
Promoting
the Vibes of March
Industry
insiders feel it’s imperative to lean into cost-effective marketing strategies
this time of year to drive both awareness and sales.
Email
marketing and social media campaigns should tease establishments’ special
offerings by utilizing enticing visuals. The marketing campaigns should also
offer exclusive deals and tap into local partnerships and influencers to expand
reach.
The
campaigns could even feature a QR code that links to a holiday menu.
Additionally:
“Everybody
loves freebies, so try handing out St. Patrick’s Day-themed items such as beer
koozies at community events (ahead of time). Customize them with the date of
your event and they’ll serve as gifts and branding tools,” said Shelley
Grieshop, a member of the marketing team at Totally Promotional.
Preparing
Employees
Quick,
friendly service is always important during holiday business, but so is
maintaining staff morale. As a result, experts like Hannon suggest that
managers check in regularly with employees during St. Patrick’s Day shifts and
encourage short breaks when possible.
In other
words, keep employees’ energy levels high.
“Schedule
staff in shorter shifts to maintain their energy and efficiency,” said Andrea
Abbondanza, the CEO of SEO for Restaurants.
“It’s
important to have 30 percent more staff on deck than a typical weekend to
ensure smooth operations.”
6
Additional Tips for St. Patrick’s Day
Industry
experts feel the following, often overlooked steps can help establishments make
March 17 a success:
- Use data
from past years to estimate demand
-
Update
recipe costs
-
Offer
LTO cocktails (like an Irish Coffee Martini)
-
Play
high-energy music to encourage interaction
- Schedule
a manager, or floater, during peak hours
-
Create
an employee contest for upselling
With such
high consumer demand on St. Patrick’s Day, “the goal isn’t just to survive the
rush, but to create a seamless experience that brings customers back long after
the holiday,” Hannon said. Food
Institute Focus
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Put Asian-Style Appetizers on the Menu
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Store News: Flynn
Group acquired 45 Pizza
Hut units in Ala., Ga., and Tenn., bringing its total domestic count to
1,027 Pizza Huts. The franchisee operates nearly 20% of the chain’s U.S.
portfolio, along with about 300 units in Australia under Flynn ANZ,
reported Restaurant Dive (March 12). Full
Story
Freddy's
Frozen Custard & Steakburgers is awarding Name, Image and Likeness deals to 12 male and
female college basketball players in Ala., Kansas, N.C., Tenn., and Iowa. The
chain will share the athletes’ menu favorites on its website and social media
channels. Full
Story
Food
delivery startup Wonder acquired media company Tastemade for
about $90 million, according to people familiar with the matter. The deal is
the latest step in the company’s quest to develop a mealtime “super app”
encompassing takeout, delivery, meal kits, and now, a global advertising and
content production brand, reported The Wall Street Journal (March 12). Full
Story
QDOBA is continuing its franchise
expansion, signing major agreements to open 33+ new units in key U.S. markets.
In addition to growing its traditional franchise network, the chain is
accelerating its non-traditional development, launching new locations in airports,
universities, and military bases. Full
Story
McDonald’s
same-store sales
flatlined after years of growth, prompting it to revamp its ranks to accelerate
the deployment of new tech and menu items. Jill McDonald will oversee the
chain’s operations, supply chain, franchising, design, development, delivery,
and innovation lab as McDonald’s first chief restaurant experience officer,
reported The Wall Street Journal (March 11). Full
Story
Jollibee launched its first U.S. franchising
program. Recognized as one of the world’s fastest-growing QSR chains, the brand
has enjoyed 50 consecutive months of positive same-store sales growth that was
largely driven by increased customer transactions. Full
Story
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Store
News (continued): Potbelly
Corp. filled some of
its menu gaps in Q4 by adding pulled pork protein and more sauce options,
according to executives. The Chicago-based sandwich chain said the innovations
helped boost its Q4 sales, reported NRN (March 7). Full
Story
Firehouse
Subs is partnering
with Hot Ones, the series featuring celebrity interviews over hot wings,
on a spicy challenge. For a limited time, the firefighter-founded sub chain is
inviting guests across the U.S. to test their heat tolerance with 2 new subs:
the Spicy Dill Hook & Ladder (HOT!) and the Zesty Garlic Hook & Ladder
(mild). Full
Story
Starbird signed 2 franchise development
agreements to further its expansion into key U.S. markets. Led by established
operators, the new agreements will bring a total of 10 additional locations to
Chicago and Salt Lake City, with the first opening in late 2025. Full
Story
Steak ‘n
Shake has shuttered
200 units since its peak in 2018 when it had 626 locations. The chain posted
pre-tax operating earnings that missed its parent company Biglari Holdings’
targets by 20% in 2024, but these challenges paved the way for a $50 million
overhaul that’s “improved unit economics mightily,” reported QSR (March
3). Full
Story
Outback
Steakhouse plans to
slash its menu by nearly 20%. The move is part of the chain’s wholesale
turnaround plan, which also includes slower unit development and a new
marketing strategy, reported Restaurant Business (Feb. 26). Full
Story
Papa
Johns recently
converted its loyalty program from a buy-so-many-pizzas-get-one-free offer to a
points-based system. While the updates cost the chain money in the short term,
they also increased engagement, with about half of members redeeming their
points compared with just 21% a year ago, reported Restaurant Business
(Feb. 28). Full
Story
Del Taco franchisee Newport Ventures
closed all 18 of its Colorado locations yesterday, leaving only one Del Taco
open in the state, according to court documents. Newport Ventures filed for
bankruptcy in Oct. after Del Taco terminated its franchise agreement, reported Restaurant
Dive (Feb. 28). Full
Story
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Executives on the Move: Starbucks
CEO Brian Niccol
has made major moves in his first 6 months on the job. The company has slimmed
down menus, reduced discounts, and reserved bathrooms for paying customers,
reported The Wall Street Journal (March 12). Full
Story
Domino’s
Pizza promoted Joseph
Jordan to COO and president of its U.S. market. The pizza chain also
promoted Weiking Ng to EVP, international and Ryan Mulally to
EVP, general counsel and corporate secretary. Full
Story
Caribou
Coffee CEO John
Butcher stepped down effective March 14, but did not give a reason for his
departure. CFO Scott Kennedy has been named interim CEO. Full
Story
Jack in
the Box announced on
Feb. 24 that CEO Darin Harris accepted a role outside of the industry
but would serve as a consultant for the chain until March 14. Current CFO Lance
Tucker was appointed as interim principal executive officer. Full
Story
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Sky-High
Egg Prices Send Restaurants Scrambling
As the old
adage goes, you can’t make an omelet without breaking some eggs. But when
they’re sold at record-breaking prices, many restaurants can’t afford to buy
eggs without also breaking the bank – or raising their menu prices.
According to
the latest consumer price index, egg prices reached a record high in January,
with a dozen Grade A eggs costing $4.95 on average in U.S. cities.
The bird flu
outbreak is responsible for much of the spike, which has killed nearly 158
million birds since it began.
It gets
especially hard to see the sunny side when you run a breakfast or brunch joint,
where eggs are a menu staple – and the top-ordered item at Waffle House. The
national breakfast chain reportedly serves 272 million of them annually and
recently instituted a surcharge of $0.50 per egg to offset the spike.
“The
dramatic increase in egg prices is a tough challenge for restaurant operators,”
said Bo Davis, the CEO of MarginEdge, a restaurant-tech company
with a network of 10,000-plus clients and a restaurant owner himself.
“Operators
need to take more proactive measures for managing food costs, like tracking
ingredient trends, identifying cost-effective substitutions, and refining menu
offerings,” Davis told The Food Institute.
Restaurants
Hatch a Plan
So, how are
other restaurants weathering the storm?
“We’re lucky
to have great suppliers,” David Barlam, the owner of Mass Ave Diner,
told FI. Even still, the egg crisis has affected its bottom line,
prompting the diner to impose a temporary egg surcharge as well.
“Most
customers are aware of what’s going on and have been very understanding.
Regardless, we’ve made it clear why we’ve had to do so,” said Barlam.
Mike
Sebazco has taken a
slightly different approach as the president of Famous Toastery, a chain
with 11 locations across the Carolinas.
“We have to
this point absorbed the impact of the price increase on eggs by mitigating it
in other areas, such as labor and focused LTOs,” Sebazco said.
Davis agrees
with this strategy, elaborating that “LTOs provide an opportunity to shift
customer demand toward alternatives that maintain quality and appeal without
the elevated price tag. Spotlighting dishes that rely on cost-effective
ingredients can help balance overall food costs while keeping the menu fresh.”
Beans
& Brews Coffeehouse, another smaller chain that serves egg sandwiches on its breakfast menu,
has also managed to avoid increasing prices.
“Our
strategic vendor partnerships have allowed us to keep Q1 pricing stable and
avoid the need to increase prices for our operators or guests,” CEO Doug
Willmarth said.
But although
strategies like these have helped restaurants cope for now, the egg crisis is
likely to persist for a while.
Walking
on Eggshells
In early
February, the USDA said it expects egg prices will increase by another
20% this year, and that prediction came before the federal agency
“accidentally” fired several employees on its H5N1 avian flu response team
recently – an issue it’s “working to swiftly rectify,” according to a USDA
spokesperson.
In the
meantime, the National Grocers Association has some recommendations for
addressing the crisis, which it sent in a letter to USDA Secretary Brooke
Rollins on February 18, including for the agency to “leverage all scientific
resources available to mitigate the effects and spread of HPAI and protect U.S.
poultry populations.”
And for
restaurants specifically, Barlam offered the following advice:
“It’s
important to have a direct supplier for produce! Middlemen are often
inconsistent and can sometimes elevate prices during shortages, so it’s good to
go to your city’s local food terminal and buy from the source.” Food
Institute Focus
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January Sales Up 2.5% While Traffic Drops
Comparable
sales for the restaurant industry jumped 2.5% in January as comparable traffic
dropped 1.3%, according to Black Box Intelligence.
“January
2025 – given prevailing trends throughout 2024 and before that – provides as
much cause for optimism for the restaurant industry as we’ve seen in the past
couple of year.
This is in
the face of headwinds – literal in many cases – driven by the winter storm
sweeping across the country, which meant January 2025 marked the coldest start
to the year since 2011.” Full
Story
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Selected Results: El Pollo
Loco saw a 6.8%
decline in Q4 transactions; however, CEO Liz Williams says a major
turnaround is underway – for the brand, not the business. The 496-unit chain
has hired a new marketing agency to support its brand relaunch coming this
year, which will include a robust calendar of new menu items, reported Restaurant
Business (March 7). Full
Story
Taco Bell has started 2025 on a strong note,
with its Q1 same-store sales expected to grow 8%, according to Yum Brands.
Taco Bell said on Tuesday that it expects to grow its average unit volumes from
$2.2 million this year to $3 million by 2030, reported Restaurant Business
(March 4). Full
Story
Applebee’s announced its Q4 financial results,
including a 4.7% decline in domestic same-store sales. The chain plans to
continue executing an “aggressive marketing calendar” in 2025, which includes
refined value offerings like a new “Everyday” platform catered to individuals,
pairs, and groups, reported NRN (March 5). Full
Story
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Selected Results (cont.): Red Robin
Gourmet Burgers, Inc.
will soon close dozens of loss-generating stores as part of its ongoing
turnaround plan. The chain reported 3.4% same-store sales growth during Q4 on
Wednesday after market, reported NRN (Feb. 27). Full
Story
Cava’s 2025 sales growth target fell
short of analysts’ estimates. The company said it expects to see a same-store
sales increase of 6-8%, slightly below the 8.17% average estimate, reported Reuters
(Feb. 25). Full
Story
Krispy
Kreme expects its
2025 revenue to fall between $1.55 billion and $1.65 billion and top-line
growth of 5-7% on an organic basis. The company said a Dec. cyberattack took a
2.8 percentage-point bite out of its Q4 organic revenue, reported The Wall
Street Journal (Feb. 25). Full
Story
Domino’s
Pizza missed market
expectations for Q4 same-store sales. While its same-store sales rose 0.4%
during the quarter, analysts had predicted 1.63%, reported Reuters (Feb.
24). Full
Story
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