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See You
in May at the Restaurant Show!
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We look
forward to seeing so many of you Friday, May 17th at DMA's Party at the Post
Office to kick off the 2024 Restaurant Show in Chicago! More than 500 people
have RSVP'd for this outdoor event already and we'll likely hit capacity soon.
You don't want to miss this...Chain Operators can still sign
up today!
Thank you to
our supplier Partners and event Sponsors for making this such a great
experience as well! Your support not only enhances this event, but also makes
the monthly newsletter more engaging. We are so grateful to collaborate with
each of you! Explore their product videos and promotions on DMA's website
highlighting many of the items you'll see (and taste) at this year's event.
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Fast-Food
Chains' ‘Wrap Battle' Has Commenced
A wrap
battle is booming in the QSR arena. By remixing preexisting ingredients with
build-your-own appeal, major players are producing flavor-drenched "hunger
hacks" and fresh affordable snacks that span dayparts.
Wendy's, Burger King, KFC, and
Sonic are among the wave of restaurant chains innovating their wrap
offers with a blend of classic and bold flavors, reported Restaurant
Business.
Value is a
key attribute driving this momentum, as the affordability of wraps extends to
food service operators and consumers.
In most
cases, adding this item to the menus requires the addition of only one SKU—a
flour tortilla. Operators can then combine proteins (chicken is the most
popular) with sauces, veggies, and other ingredients that are already a part of
their inventory.
According to
MenuData, Burger King introduced chicken wraps in varieties like
Classic, Spicy, and Honey Mustard last August, while KFC ventured into unique
combinations with its Spicy Slaw and Mac & Cheese Wraps.
Other
notable additions include Carl's Jr.'s BBQ Hand Breaded Chicken Tender
Wrap, Dunkin's Chicken & Roasted Pepper Wrap, and Saladworks'
Jalapeño Ranch Crispy Chicken Wrap.
"These menu
expansions reflect a shift towards offering a larger number of wrap[s], which
include diverse and innovative options, catering to a wide range of customer
tastes," MenuData CEO Sunny Khamkar told The Food Institute.
Tapping
Snack Appeal to Span Dayparts
The wrap
battle is echoing across other foodservice venues as QSRs pull more lunch
daypart share from grocery and convenience channels.
According to
a February 2024 report by Circana, FMI, and Oliver Wynman,
younger generations, especially Gen Z, are increasingly driving growth at
foodservice establishments and shifting midday spend to QSRs.
Similar
movement can be seen in the snack category, where customizable mix-and-match
wrap deals that bridge dayparts are faring well in both fast food and QSRs
environments.
As the
report suggests, leveraging snackability could be a valuable target for ongoing
innovation across multiple dayparts.
"Snack foods
play different roles throughout the day and should be promoted to consumers
based on their shifting needs," noted the authors. "Between main eating
occasions, consumers look for ways to tide themselves to the next one or to
satisfy cravings."
As the
report also observes, QSRs excluding fast casuals held a 54% share of traffic
across foodservice snack channels as of September 2023, marking a 5% increase
year-over-year.
C-stores
hold the next highest share (28%), followed by all other Retail Foodservice
(8%), but YOY traffic at both channels was down 3%, and 2%, respectively.
"To win the
wrap battle, it'll be on QSRs to deliver on not just taste, but value and innovation as well," Vijay Sukumar, chief food innovation Officer at
KFC, told Restaurant Business.
Channeling
MTO Appeal
As more QSRs
drop fresh wraps and c-stores push back with their own creations, order
customization could be a growth advantage.
According to
a June 2023 consumer study from FoodserviceResults, 66% of respondents
said convenience stores should offer made-to-order (MTO) food. Furthermore, 72%
of those respondents were members of Gen Z, reported C Store Decisions.
In March
2024, East coast c-store chain Wawa launched a build-to-order wrap
campaign to elevate the offer by placing customization in the hands of the
consumer. Food
Institute Focus
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Dawn Professional Means
Powerful Grease Cleaning
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Dawn Professional Manual Pot and Pan detergent has an improved
formula that delivers powerful grease cleaning for your commercial kitchen.
This pot and pan detergent has two times longer lasting suds versus Dawn
non-concentrated, so you can wash more dishes per sink and clean faster with
fewer sink changeovers. See how one drop of Dawn
Professional can do a whole lot.
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New Study
Exposes the Power (and Pitfalls) of AI-Generated Food Images
Generative
AI continues to pervade the food industry, and image creation is no exception.
On a company
level, the path to incorporating these tools has been, in many cases,
experimental. In recent months, some early adopters have been cast into the
public eye for sharing inaccurate or unappetizing AI-generated food images.
In January, Instacart
scrubbed a swath of recipes with AI-generated food images from its website
after "unsettling" details like strangely blended textures and physically
impossible compositions began raising eyebrows, reported Business Insider.
Despite such
pitfalls, food producers that master the nascent technology could reap
significant rewards in the long term.
According to
new findings by the University of Oxford, consumers think AI-generated
food images look tastier than authentic photos of food.
In the
study, the researchers asked 297 participants to rate a range of real and
AI-generated images — including natural, processed, and ultra-processed foods —
on a scale from "Not at all appetizing" to "Extremely appetizing."
Results
suggest that AI-generated visuals can enhance food's overall appeal by
leveraging key features such as symmetry, shape, lighting, color — even subtle
tweaks in positioning like not pointing products directly at the viewer.
Key
Considerations and Concerns for AI-generated Food Images
The study
also revealed that an awareness of the image creation process impacts overall
reception.
When
participants knew how each image was sourced, they tended to rate real and
AI-generated versions equally appealing. When participants were unaware,
however, the AI-generated version was consistently rated as significantly more
appetizing than the real food image.
This point
could be noteworthy for food producers as formal regulations surrounding the
technology have yet to be established. In the case of Instacart, the company
has been publicly disclosing when photos are generated by AI, emphasizing that
user discretion is advised.
Furthermore,
the study raises concerns about how AI imagery could potentially foster
unrealistic expectations about how natural foods should look and potentially
harm sustainability efforts such as the promotion of "ugly" fruits and
vegetables.
Consistent
exposure to picture-perfect dishes could also influence unhealthy eating
behaviors at a time when American diets are already under heavy scrutiny.
"While
AI-generated visuals may offer cost-saving opportunities for marketers and the
industry by reducing the cost of commissioning food photoshoots, these findings
highlight potential risks associated with exacerbating ‘visual hunger' among
consumers – the phenomenon where viewing images of food triggers appetite and
cravings," said study supervisor and co-author Professor Charles Spence, a
Professor of Experimental Psychology at University of Oxford. Food
Institute Focus
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Chef
Robert Irvine Provides Guide for Restaurants to Survive Wage Hikes
The
restaurant industry has reached a crossroads regarding labor costs. Chef Robert
Irvine has kept a close eye on the issue, especially as California recently
raised its minimum wage for the state's fast-food workers to $20.
"Times have
changed," Irvine, a celebrity chef and longtime restaurateur, told The Food
Institute. "With this new law in California that passed, we were already
seeing problems; the inflation and food costs went through the roof. ... We
thought the interest rates were going to drop; they didn't.
"As these
changes affect the rest of the country – and they will – you'll start to see a
decline in smaller restaurants. We've already seen restaurants close."
"I'm not a
prophet of doom and gloom," he added. "I'm just telling you what's happening in
the industry."
Irvine, a
veteran of nearly four decades in foodservice, isn't against workers making a
living wage. After all, he's been there, as a former immigrant from England who
began working in the U.S. as a dishwasher. Irvine does, however, believe that
restaurant operators need to carefully consider their labor expenses these
days.
"We don't
have that capacity to fill those jobs anymore," Irvine said.
The
celebrity chef, who appeared on Food Network's Restaurant: Impossible
show between 2011 and 2023, fears that as many as one-fifth of all American
"mom-and-pop" restaurants could be forced to close by year's end due to rising
labor costs.
"I've had
some of my own Restaurant: Impossibles [consider] closing down this
week, because they can't afford to pay" up to $20 per hour, Irvine noted. "And
I said ‘Don't close yet; let me show you something. ... Look at technology to
help you out.' There's so much technology out there."
In that
spirit, Irvine partnered with self-service tech company GRUBBRR to launch a
project called Restaurant Revamp. The national campaign will start in
California and grant a winning business a full suite of restaurant technology
designed to address labor challenges.
"I want to
prove that, if you use technology in the restaurant business, it will actually
make you money," Irvine said. "I'm all for the wage increases; I agree with the
living wage and increasing wages, because for years our restaurant workers have
suffered. ... The unintended consequences of that is this: We've seen restaurants
put up their prices, and then the consumer says ‘Well, I can (just) cook at
home.'"
Meanwhile,
Irvine has observed major restaurant chains like McDonald's and Taco
Bell deftly incorporate technology like kiosks to ease their labor
expenses.
"Not many
people are using [technology correctly], except the big boys, like McDonald's
and Yum Brands. And, because of technology, if you look at their earnings year
over year, they're through the roof," Irvine noted. "And I want small operators
to be able to do that.
"I want to
prove, especially in California, that yes, smaller restaurateurs can make it,
even with all these things stacked against you."
Humans will
continue to play a key role on restaurant staff for the foreseeable future;
Irvine realizes that. Yet he's also noticed that many Gen Z and millennial
consumers don't seem to care if they receive human interaction from restaurant
workers. Irvine chef is also enamored with technology like inventory control
systems, automatic ordering, and Flippy – Miso Robotics' French fry-cooking
robot.
"I started
in the restaurant business 36 or 37 years ago and we were still counting on
abacuses – that's how old I am," Irvine joked. "And here we are now. ... Over the
last 30 years, technology has changed dramatically.
"There's
always going to be people (working) in restaurants," he added. "Do I want a
computer or a robot bringing me food? No, not at all. But I want the speed of
service, and accuracy. (And) technology allows for pinpoint accuracy." Food
Institute Focus
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Store
News:
McDonald's CosMc's restaurant concept
has made its debut in Texas. CosMc's new Dallas location is one of nine planned
for Texas this year for the burger chain to "learn from." The new location also
features two new drink items, reported WFAA-TV (March 20). Full
Story
Meanwhile, McDonald's
will sell Krispy Kreme doughnuts nationwide by the end of 2026. It began
testing doughnut sales in 2022 and now the popular doughnut company will more
than double its distribution to reach McDonald's restaurants nationwide,
reported CNBC (March 26). Full
Story
Chick-Fil-A
backtracked from its
"no antibiotics ever" pledge, blaming a projected supply shortage.
Instead, the company will embrace a standard known as "no antibiotics important
to human medicine," often abbreviated as NAIHM, which entails the avoidance of
medications commonly used to treat people and limits the use of antibiotics to
cases of actual illness, reported The Seattle Times (March 24). Full
Story
Panera's new menu highlights core items
like soups, sandwiches, and salads instead of searching for a new breakthrough
item or menu category. The new menu is shorter and hailed as the most sweeping
makeover in the chain's 37-year history. Executives are already working on
revamping the breakfast and morning beverage lineups; alcoholic beverages will
not be served, reported Restaurant Business (March 28). Full
Story
White
Castle is offering
discounts on gift cards and special deals for Tax Day, Mother's Day, and
Memorial Day Weekend. And on April 20, Craver Nation members can roll up to
White Castle for a BOGO offer on the Impossible Slider, made from plants for
meat lovers. Full
Story
The new CFO
of Yum! Brands said Taco Bell and Pizza Hut are going
"AI-First," citing data shared by its restaurants as the "secret sauce" for
enabling AI and digital sales. About 45% ($30 billion) of Yum's sales are
digital, and managers are testing a mobile app to track and manage operations
with a generative AI boost, "like a coach in your pocket," reported The Wall
Street Journal (April 1). Full
Story
Meanwhile, Taco
Bell is charging customers 20 cents for each of its new avocado verde salsa
packets—a new permanent addition to the menu. The new condiment comes in a
packet twice the size of the brand's standard hot sauces, which are still free,
reported Fortune (March 27). Full
Story
Additionally,
Taco Bell is testing three new Agua Refrescas drinks in a continuing effort
to become a "beverage destination." Each drink is based on energy-boosting
green tea and infused with real fruit, reported Restaurant Business (April
11). Full
Story
KFC has debuted Saucy Nuggets, offering
three new sauce options along with two returning favorites: Honey Srircha,
Korean BBQ, Sticky Chicky Sweet ‘n' Sour, Nashville Hot, and Georgia Gold. Full
Story
BurgerFi has partnered with Heinz,
making it the first brand to ever have an in-restaurant, customizable sauce
dispenser. The Heinz REMIX Machine is an IoT-enabled digital sauce dispenser
that allows consumers to personalize their sauces with over 200 potential sauce
combinations. Full
Story
Burger
King unveiled a new
limited-time "frozen cotton candy" drink. The new drink was made
available at Burger King restaurants nationwide starting April 11, reported Food
& Wine (April 4). Full
Story
Jersey
Mike's Subs is
considering a sale that could value the company at $8 billion, according to
sources familiar with the matter. The company has been in on-and-off
discussions with Blackstone, reported The Wall Street Journal (April
5). Full
Story
MOD Pizza
closed 26
underperforming restaurants during the first quarter. The fast-casual chain
confirmed Tuesday that it had shuttered locations in 10 states and the District
of Columbia, reported Restaurant Business (April 9). Full
Story
Dave
& Busters is
launching a new dine-in menu featuring more than 20 new premium food and drink
items. In celebration, the brand is offering a first-of-its-kind offer for new
and existing D&B Rewards members, who are eligible to receive 50% off all
food at Dave & Buster's April 15 through April 28. Full
Story
Papa
John's has signed a
50-unit development deal with the Bajco Group. The Group will open
restaurants in the Midwest, Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Florida as the pizza
chain increases its domestic development. The Group already owns 200 Papa
John's locations and is one of its largest operators, reported Restaurant
Business (April 10). Full
Story
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Executives
on the Move: Smashburger has named former Starbucks executive
Denise Nelson as senior vice president of U.S. operations. Full
Story
Taco
John's named Heather
Neary as CEO; Neary spent 15 years with Auntie Anne's and brand
president at KBP Brands. Full
Story
Shake
Shack this morning
appointed Rob Lynch to the role of CEO, effective May 20, succeeding Randy
Garutti. Lynch previously served as President and CEO of Papa. Full
Story
Bloomin'
Brands has promoted
Michael Healy to CFO. Full
Story
Carl's
Jr. named Blake
Devillier its new brand president as its parent company restructures.
CKE Restaurants, which also owns Hardee's, has separated its two QSR
brands. Full
Story
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H5N1
Avian Flu Hits Dairy Herds
The recent
spread of a highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) strain (H5N1) to dairy
cows in the United States has raised concerns about the potential impact on the
dairy and beef industries. While the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has
stated that there is little safety risk, the outbreak has unsettled the
industry, with cattle and milk prices taking a hit.
Risks
to Consumer Demand
There are
concerns that some consumers may be hesitant to drink milk or eat beef due to
the outbreak, potentially hurting demand. Analysts have noted that "risks to
consumer demand for dairy are prevalent in conversations," although the actual
impact on buyer behavior remains unclear.
Supply-side
Concerns
The
infection of dairy cows by the same virus strain that has caused unprecedented
deaths in wild birds and poultry globally is also raising concerns on the
supply side. Infected Texas dairy cattle are experiencing decreased lactation
and low appetite, with older cows more likely to be severely impacted.
Some herds
infected with H5N1 have reported pneumonia and clinical mastitis, an
inflammatory disease. While most animals seem to recover in as many as two
weeks with supported care, some cows may never see their milk production
recover to pre-infection levels, potentially leading to culling. The overall
impact on the milk supply is expected to be mild, however, as the number of
affected farms and cows remains relatively small.
Human
Infection and Safety Measures
In early
April, a person in Texas was infected with the virus after exposure to infected
dairy cows, although the risk to the general population remains low according
to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The CDC has advised
against consuming uncooked or undercooked food from potentially infected
animals.
Milk from
impacted animals is being diverted or destroyed to prevent it from entering the
human food supply. The USDA and the Food and Drug Administration
have stated that there is no concern about the safety of the commercial milk
supply, as pasteurization inactivates viruses like influenza.
Impact
on Major Producers
Cal-Maine
Foods Inc., the
largest egg producer in the U.S., has culled 3.6% of its flock after birds at a
Texas facility tested positive for avian flu, adding to concerns over the
widening outbreak. This is the biggest bird flu casualty in the U.S. since
December 2022 when 2.6 million birds were killed at an Ohio egg farm. While the
virus has not been found in beef cattle herds so far, cattle futures fell 2.7%
following the confirmation of the human case in Texas before trimming some
losses the following day.
Overall, the
situation requires close monitoring and coordination between agencies to ensure
the spread is contained. Based on the current information, however, the risks
appear manageable, with no major disruptions expected to the dairy and beef
supply chains. Food
Institute Focus
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Restaurant
Sales Decline in February
Comparable
restaurant sales contracted 0.6% in February as comparable traffic ticked down
2.3%, according to Black Box Intelligence. "Excluding January of this
year, which was negatively impacted by the weather, February 2024 was the
worst-performing month based on restaurant sales growth since February 2021.
This means that we have reached a low point in the post-Covid recovery when it
comes to year-over-year sales growth." Full
Story
Selected
Results:
Darden
Restaurants – whose
portfolio includes Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse, and Capital
Grille – posted its first same-store sales decline since the pandemic.
While quarterly earnings met Wall Street expectations, revenue fell short of
estimates. Olive Garden same-store sales fell 1.8%, though net sales of Darden
businesses rose 6.8%, fueled by the acquisition of Ruth's Chris Steak House
and 53 other new restaurant locations, reported CNBC (March 21). Full
Story
Chick-fil-A
enjoyed another huge
year in 2023, as the chain's unit volumes at stand-alone restaurants hit $9
million. The chain generated nearly $22 billion in U.S. system sales last year,
while both mall and non-mall locations thrived, reported Restaurant Business
(April 4). Full
Story
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